Saturday, January 8, 2022

COVID-19: conflating absence of evidence with evidence of absence

 I started noticing this issue when I started blogging about masks in the spring of 2020, when I wrote a blog asking why the virus was innocent until proven guilty. https://annebarschall.blogspot.com/2020/04/why-is-virus-innocent-until-proven.html

That was after I started the blog in March of 2020 saying we should use masks -- and was frustrated at how long it took for that to become a public recommendation -- until July -- 4 precious months where we might have stemmed the spread of this virus https://annebarschall.blogspot.com/2020/03/argument-for-requiring-masks-even-if.html

It wasn't until November of 2020 that I saw someone with a platform condemning the medical community for the same pattern of behavior.   She called it conflating absence of evidence with evidence of absence https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/scientists-failed-to-use-common-sense-early-in-the-pandemic/

It's still happening.  I was just having an argument with my cousin on Facebook, arguing about the need for eye protection.  This is what I said

In fact there has been totally inadequate study of the role of the eyes in contagion. This whole pandemic has been cursed with making the virus innocent until proven guilty. 


They had to prove it was airborne, even tho similar viruses were known to be airborne -- delaying mask recommendations for months -- and therefore allowing the pandemic to spiral out of control.   I blogged about this back in March of 2020.  I had extensive arguments with a friend who is a doctor who kept insisting that masks were not necessary — changed her tune a few months later.  


They claimed they had to prove that children could spread the virus, even tho there haven't been other viruses that adults could spread and children couldn’t.  When the proof finally arrived, it turned out that children were more contagious than adults.  The widespread statements implying that children could not spread the virus — in the absence of evidence -- also helped the pandemic spread. 


They alleged for the longest time that people couldn't catch it from animals, even tho it was generally believed that the virus initially jumped from animals to people.  Now they're finding it endemic in various animal populations — and they’re concerned about it.  White tailed deer are now suspected vectors.  https://www.nbcnews.com/science/science-news/covid-rampant-deer-research-shows-rcna10181 White tailed deer routinely kill off competing species by spreading disease that they’re able to live with, but other species can’t.  Why should they be surprised that COVID-19 would be in the same category?  Yet it had to be proven. Some scientists are now even suggesting that Omicron developed in mice — which may be a good thing, as it may be milder, but that wasn’t the obvious result of it having spread to rodents.


The lack of recommendations regarding eye protection, despite the clear communication of the eyes with the nose, is in this vein. The virus hasn't been scientifically proven to be transmitted through the eyes, so, despite the widespread empirical experience in emergency rooms, no eye protection recommendation is given.  


This innocent until proven guilty attitude towards the virus is really an appalling.  It has resulted in millions of deaths.  


In fact, my personal experience with common colds is that they ALWAYS start in the eyes.  First, the eyes itch. Then I get the scratchy throat.  Then the cold develops.  If you look at the configurations of the orifices of the face, the eyes are most exposed.  The nose points downwards.  The mouth has saliva, which has been shown to kill many coronaviruses.  The eyes are just sitting there — sitting ducks.

Here's an article about the possible role of the eyes in infection https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanmic/article/PIIS2666-5247(21)00040-9/fulltext It's really only a matter of time before they "prove" that the eyes are important in infection with respiratory viruses.  In the meantime, people die.

Saturday, July 17, 2021

Creating a new commercial reel

Here's my current version of my commercial reel.  What do you think?


 


Ads included or excerpted:
  • TeePublic
  • Jägermeister Cold Solutions
  • Fine Fixtures -- Concealed Tanks Nebula™ Collection
  • Access Self-Storage
  • Saudi Telecom
  • NY Project Hope
  • Visiting Nurse Service of New York

Here are some stills from the reel





















Tuesday, July 6, 2021

That weird cold I had in late February & early March 2020

On the news the other day, I heard that people saying that the Delta variant is being characterized by some unusual symptoms. In particular they're talking about it seeming like a bad cold. 

It surprised me that they would think that was a new symptom. Back in January 2020 the Chinese told us that many people experienced COVID-19 as a bad cold ab initio.

So I had a bad cold. I remember when I caught it. It was February 25, 2020. I went to do an equity audition in New York City. I waited in very crowded areas to participate in this audition. A day or two later I got a scratchy throat. And then a day or two after that my nose started running

We knew that Covid was an issue at that point. I didn't think I had Covid. It was a cold. My nose was running.  At the time, the media was saying that COVID wouldn't include a runny nose.  I never had chest involvement and I never had a fever of over 99°F.  

I treated this cold as I always treat colds. I used to zinc spray in my nose and throat. I rinsed my nose and gargled with salt water.  I was concerned about Covid, so I stayed home. I figured that catching Covid when I had a cold would be bad.

Now I had a cold in December 2019, as well. I treated that cold exactly the same way. I washed it out within eight days with the salt water.

The second cold was quite different. Even though I rinsed three and four times a day, my sinuses were not clear for 18 days after my nose started running.  Also I had a symptom that I had never had before. I felt as if I had abrasion in my sinuses. It felt like a skinned knee. There was some blood in the mucus when I blew my nose, and when I rinsed.

The bug never went into my lungs. I never lost my sense of smell or taste. I feel that I made a full recovery.

Later, I read some things on the Internet that said that if you had a cold that lasted more than a week it might be Covid. I've read other things that said if you had a symptom that you never had before it might be Covid.  Also they said that there was frequent sinus involvement with COVID.

While I never did completely lose my sense of smell or taste, there was a taste artifact. My favorite herbal tea was always Celestial Seasonings Bengal Spice. Sometime in the spring of 2020 -- I don't remember the date -- I discovered that I could no longer tolerate the taste of my favorite herb tea. My son is having to drink it for me, because I can't stand it.  I haven't noticed this with any other foods.

I got an antibody test in the first week of May, because I started becoming suspicious that my weird cold might be covid. The antibody test was negative. However, about the same time, the talking heads were saying that if you had a mild case the antibodies might be gone in two months.

Also, I've talked to vaccinated people who went out and started socializing immediately after getting vaccinated, and got bad calls – even though the talking heads are saying that there aren't very many colds going around.

I suspect that the bad cold version of Covid has been around from the start. I still don't know if that weird cold that I had was Covid or not -- but maybe it was.

My motivation in putting this up is that perhaps some researcher will find it and it will be useful for better understanding the pandemic.





Sunday, June 6, 2021

Some of my ads

I'm finding that the embedded
YouTube videos here are not
showing up on my iphone.  
They seem to work on the browser tho.


Tee Public



Fine Fixtures 
Nebula Collection

  

Access Self Storage

 


Saudi Telecom



Visiting Nurse Service of New York
(photoshoot)

My parts of the NY Project Hope Infomercials



Friday, May 28, 2021

About editing cleavage in women's high school yearbook pictures -- Bartram Trail High School, Florida

I've been involved in a discussion on Facebook about this topic. I want to try to get everything I said into one place in an organized fashion. 

My unfortunately rather predictable liberal friends are having a programmed knee jerk reaction to a national news story that I disagree with.  I hate this, when suddenly I have to step outside the knee jerk progressive orthodoxy -- but the take the national news has instilled in everyone is dead wrong.

First, I think it is perfectly reasonable for high schools to have dress codes.

Second, I find it distressing that fashion designers, mostly men, are progressively sexualizing women's clothing. This is not actually a choice that the girls made to reveal their bodies. It's a choice of fashion designers made. They are dupes in two ways. First, constantly changing fashion is a pink tax. Second they are being lured into allowing mostly male fashion designers to sexualize them.

I personally find it very annoying that neck lines are plunging and arm holes are getting larger. It means that I have to buy new underwear. Having to buy new underwear is another pink tax.  School dress codes could put pressure on clothing designers to stop sexualizing women and to stop imposing such a pink taxes.

This business of allowing girls self-esteem to be tied to fashion it's not helping them. It's demeaning to them.

Third, I find peekaboo clothing to be much more sexually titillating than nudity.  If you see a woman without a shirt, it is less sexual than seeing her with cleavage peeking out.  The swimsuited boys, looking rather awkward, are not more sexual than the girls with the tight, low cut sweaters.

What if this were photos of boys wearing their pants low to show butt cheek cleavage?  Would people have this same knee jerk reaction that prohibiting that was an affront to boys?

Fourth, swimsuits (aka speedos), shown on boys in this case, are functional equipment for participation in a sport. A few years ago, there was an effort to introduce swimsuits that covered more of the body. The powers that be in sports forbade these swimsuits, allegedly because they gave swimmers an unfair advantage. 

We do not know, at least I do not know, from the news stories, whether there was a girl's swim team and whether the members of that swim team appeared in their team swimsuits in this yearbook.  If they were not allowed to have a swim team or not allowed to appear in the yearbook with swimsuits, that would be inconsistent treatment of men and women.

The comparison of tight, low-cut sweaters to swimsuits is comparing applies to oranges.

The idea that showing cleavage is somehow a woman's right is gaslighting.  Instead, what we are seeing is fashion designers sexualizing women, because they cannot visualize women as functional students and workers.  Men love to convince women that they are being liberated, when actually they are being exploited, see e.g. the Nxivm cult https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/27/nyregion/nxivm-cult-keith-raniere-sentenced.html

#BartramTrailHighSchool #cleavage #editing #yearbook #yearbookphotos #speedos


I realized that when I was in high school there were no push-up bras, so I would never have had cleavage like this woman had. I think the invention of the push-up bra is an example of how the fashion industry tries to sexualize women. Someone sent me a blog link https://www.leaf.tv/articles/push-up-bra-history/